Wednesday, February 17, 2016

Just don't understand the vitriol

When you read this, it doesn't make any sense why Hillary Clinton and all of the people who stand behind her are acting so nasty.  Is it just their nature?  Are they warming up for Trump (or Cruz, as the case may be)?  Do they think they can win in the fall without many of the Sandernistas, or will they simply bludgeon them into submission with the "SCOTUS" cudgel?

After a pretty massive defeat in the New Hampshire Democratic primary, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton could use some good news, and she got a bunch of it on Wednesday. According to a new set of polls released by Public Policy Polling (PPP), Clinton leads Senator Bernie Sanders (I-VT) in 10 of 12 early March primary states, and in nine of those, she holds double-digit leads of anywhere from ten points (in Michigan) to 34 (in Mississippi and Georgia). Sanders leads only in his home state of Vermont and its neighbor, Massachusetts.

Go, click over to PPP.  Ted's got a lot of bar-graphing to do.


State Clinton Sanders Spread
Alabama 59% 31% Clinton +28
Arkansas 57% 32% Clinton +25
Georgia 60% 26% Clinton +34
Louisiana 60% 29% Clinton +31
Massachusetts 42% 49% Sanders +7
Michigan 50% 40% Clinton +10
Mississippi 60% 26% Clinton +34
Oklahoma 46% 44% Clinton +2
Tennessee 58% 32% Clinton +26
Texas 57% 34% Clinton +23
Virginia 56% 34% Clinton +22
Vermont 10% 86% Sanders +76


Meanwhile, Primo at Juanita Jean's has caught up with me.

I'd like to see some cessation of hostilities from Clintonites from here on.  Can they manage it?

Clinton, surrogates continue to take down themselves, her campaign, and the Democratic Party

I'm not seeing a unification of smiles and joy after all this.

-- Bill Clinton compares the Sanders revolutionaries to the Tea Party.  And Cory Booker can't take the flak he's catching from Joe Scabs and Mika Mouse about it.

-- Blue Nation Review (they've been mentioned here before) goes after Killer Mike with the sexist card for quoting 'a woman' (Jane Elliott, for those not in the know) who said that a 'uterus isn't a qualification for the presidency.'  Leela Daou -- no idea whether she's connected to Clinton flack Peter Daou, another person I once had great respect for -- does the dirty work this week.  I'm confident that Killer Mike's got this.  All by himself.

Update: Roqayah Chamseddine at Shadowproof pulls together many more of these 'sexist' tropes and methodically knocks them all down.

It may be the fact that Sanders has pulled even in Nevada, or that the race in South Carolina is tightening that produces all this panic and lashing out.  Or it may just be the Clinton way.

Turnout in the caucuses and primaries so far suggests that Democratic enthusiasm already lags that of the GOP, and the margins aren't insignificant.  This news is not being mentioned at the usual Democratic sources yet; even the mainstreamers haven't picked up on it.  But the Republican media sure has.

The first EV numbers from yesterday here in Harris County reveal the same thing.  This is an ominous trend for Dems, in a presidential year especially.  I doubt they can beat that "Supreme Court" dead horse hard enough to pull in the voters in elections past who've given up on them.

Let's keep an eye out and see if anybody else starts talking about this.

Update: Socratic Gadfly has a whole lot more.

Monday, February 15, 2016

The P Slate for the Texas D primary on March 1st

I'll be voting tomorrow morning, at the earliest possible moment in the Democratic primary, which will eliminate me from all but press credentials in terms of participating in the Harris County Green Party's county, state, and presidential nominating conventions (to be held this summer right here in H-Town).  Here's a few people who have earned a vote on my ballot, and some who've earned a thumbs-up from me that aren't, and a few that don't.  YMMV, and if you don't like my options, pick your own from the League of Women Voters' Guide.

I'm predicting the following two winners in the Texas presidential primaries:


I don't mean to imply that they're the same person; they're just the two people most likely to emerge victorious. Or if you prefer...


Scary, I know.

For President of the United States: Bernie Sanders.

Plan A is in effect.  Plan B is on deck.

For US Congress, Seventh District: Nobody.  I've expended too many disgusted pixels blogging about John Culberson and James Cargas.  Cargas is, in fact, one of the most significant reasons why I'm a DINO.  This is an undervote in the primary and in the general.

Not on my ballot but having earned my support for his personal outreach is Adrian Garcia over Gene Green.  Green is just too embedded in the establishment, too wedded to the fossil fuel operators that line the Houston Ship Channel, and much, much too conservaDem for my taste.  I have written a lot of very mean things about Garcia during his tenure as county sheriff and in his mayoral bid, but he never complained to me about it, never stopped following me on Twitter or unfriended me on social media.  After last year's mayoral election he sent me a kind note unrelated to politics via LinkedIn private message, and and I wished him luck in his race for Congress.

Garcia may or may not be a better Democrat these days, but he endorsed Sylvester Turner for Houston mayor while my choice, Chris Bell, endorsed Bill King.  That's good enough for me. Sometimes that's all it takes to earn a vote, folks.

For Railroad Commissioner: Lon Burnham.  I'll probably vote again for Martina Salinas, the Green candidate, in November because Burnham -- one of the most staunch progressive Democrats in the Lege until his defeat a couple of years ago -- has reached out to people like Bill White and Wendy Davis to help him get nominated.  As such, I'm voting for one of Burnham's primary challengers.  Not Grady Yarbrough; Cody Garrett.  Burnham is a good enough choice, as evidenced by this Dallas News op-ed; but he lost my vote when he could have held on to it.

For Judge, Court of Criminal Appeals, Place 2: Lawrence "Larry" Meyers. The Republican-turned-Democrat on the Court of Criminal Appeals lost in his bid for state Supreme Court two years ago and is running for re-election this cycle.  Democrats really need to turn out the vote for him in November, as he is the state's highest-ranking Democrat (by virtue of his party switch).  If he falls short in a presidential election year, with a Clinton-Castro ticket at the top ...

For State Senator, District 13: Rodney Ellis.  With much regret, as he no longer wants this job, preferring the high-dollar gig on Harris Commissioners Court.  Ellis, a longtime elected official, doesn't respond to my constituent e-mail and doesn't follow me on Twitter.  In most other cases I would not endorse or vote for that level of representation, and I might have to withhold voting for him for commissioner if I cannot get his attention any other way.  But I'm going to give him one last vote and see what happens.  Hellllo, Senator ...

For Sate Representative, District 146: Borris L. Miles.  Pretty much the same personal experience with him lately as Ellis.  If you search the archives here you'll find dozens of glowing reviews of Miles dating back to his first challenge to Al Edwards.  I've been his guest on a bus back and forth to Austin for opening day and for lobby days at least twice.  But he's gotten a little crazy over the past few years,  and when he voted to strike down Denton's fracking ban in the last session -- and then didn't return several of my calls to his office for explanation -- I had to step off.

Now he wants Ellis' job.  He won't get my vote for that if I don't see some greater effort trying to earn it, particularly since it's rumored he will have formidable opposition.

For Chief Justice, First Court of Appeals: Jim Peacock.  Peacock fell short of getting elected to the Harris County bench in 2014, collecting 45% of the vote in his bid for the 157th District Court against Randy Wilson.  This cycle he's stepping up to be the general election foe against Republican Sherry Radack.  If Hillary Clinton's coattails are long enough, there's a chance.

For Justice, First Court of Appeals, Place 4: Barbara Gardner.  Long favored and previously endorsed in this space, Gardner is top-shelf.  Let's take this once-every-four-years opportunity to get some Democratic representation on the Court of Appeals.

For Justice, Fourteenth Court of Appeals, Place 2: Jim Sharp.  I still like Sharp even though he's been a loose cannon, to understate the case.  Harold Cook -- whose political opinions I have disagreed with perhaps more than any other Democrat in Texas -- does not.

Between the two, Cook is the bigger egotistical jerk.  Vote for Sharp.

I'm undervoting the Place 5 CCA where Betsy Johnson is the late filer.  She's not qualified.  She was recruited at the last minute by the TDP so that the Green, Judith Sanders-Castro, wouldn't be unopposed in November.  That's bullshit (here's what I wrote about that back in December).

Read more about the candidates for Courts of Appeal in both major party primaries on your respective ballot from Bob Mabry.

Harris County

For District Judge, 11th: This contested primary is very close to call.  I'm going with Jim Lewis, whom the Chron recommends.  Stace has nice things to say about Rabeea Collier.

For District Judge, 61st: Dion Ramos.  I like Ramos over his two female challengers because he's been a district judge previously.  I have also snarked on him in the past (scroll to the end, watch the video), and his opposition is worthy, but Ramos has made the personal touch that the others haven't.  (You may be noticing a trend in my endorsements.)

Vote also for Democratic incumbent Judges Larry Weiman, Kyle Carter, R.K. Sandhill, Michael Gomez, Jaclanel McFarland, Mike Engelhart, Robert K. Schaffer, Alexandra Smoots-Hogan, and for former Judge Josefina Rendon over Ursula Hall. (Hall isn't as bright as she claims.)

I also like these candidates in contested and uncontested judicial D primary races: the Honorables (past and present) Hazel B. JonesShawna Reagin, Randy Roll, Steven Kirkland, Herb Ritchie, and Maria Jackson.  Like the Chronicle, I prefer JoAnn Storey over incumbent Elaine Palmer.  Palmer was bad news before she got elected.  I'm also taking Kelli Johnson over Lori Gray, who like Palmer is financially supported by the odious George Fleming.

The Harris County District Attorney's contested race features Lloyd Oliver, Kim Ogg. and Morris Overstreet.  I'm voting for Overstreet because I just don't think Ogg can beat Devon Anderson.  Anderson is covering all the Democratic bases, from indicting the Planned Parenthood sting videographers to collecting an award from the NAACP, for which that organization has been criticized.  The only question is how many Republican votes the incumbent DA stands to lose.  She's uncontested for re-election in the Republican primary.

County Attorney Vince Ryan, Harris County's highest-ranking Democrat, is unopposed and will face whichever Republican emerges from that party's contested primary: Chris Carmona or Jim Leitner.  Carmona has a handful of failed city council bids on his resume' while Leitner has an English surname, which appears to be his strongest advantage.  Murray Newman doesn't like Leitner but Murray Newman's pain-in-the-ass blogging antagonist certainly does.  Big Jolly's GOP endorsements spreadsheet has Carmona in the lead 4-1, with Leitner's lone backer being Dr. Steven Hotze.

(I report, you decide which Republican is worst.)

I'm voting for Ed Gonzales, Harris County's next sheriff.  I have no recommendation to make in the Justice of the Peace Precinct 7, Place 1 contested primary.  I can only winnow the field down to Not Hillary Green the incumbent, and Not Keryl Douglas.

That leaves County Tax Assessor/Collector, and I'll be supporting Ann Harris Bennett over Brandon Dudley.  This one was very simple: Dudley, as Rodney Ellis' chief of staff, never made sure my inquiries and entreaties to the senator's office got answered.  Dudley may be all that and a bag of chips, but I just wouldn't know.  Bennett, on the other hand, has long been this blog's preferred candidate, and she barely missed in 2012.

Sometimes votes are won and lost as easy as that.

The Weekly EV Wrangle

The Texas Progressive Alliance reminds you to get out and vote, starting tomorrow, in the 2016 primary as it brings you this week's roundup.


Off the Kuff published interviews with three candidates vying to reclaim HD144 for the Democrats.

Libby Shaw. contributing to Daily Kos, warns Republican governance can be deadly. Literally. A Tale of Two Cities: Flint, MI and West, TX. How GOP governance can be deadly.

It felt as if there was a turning point in the last Democratic presidential candidates debate, and PDiddie at Brains and Eggs has the details.

CouldBeTrue of South Texas Chisme is appalled that Texas Republicans are giving $.5M taxpayer dollars to help Blue Bell after they spent years delivering deadly listeria to its customers.

SocraticGadfly asked that we not have any unseemly faux mourning over the death of Nino Scalia.

The Lewisville Texan Journal has the early voting details for that city.

Txsharon at Bluedaze posts the call to action to stop fracking America's public lands.

Egberto Willies has video of the NBA All-Star Celebrity game's MVP telling America it could learn something from Canada. ... right before ESPN cut him off.

Neil at All People Have Value took a picture of a very cold Ohio River, at Cincinnati. APHV is a part of NeilAquino.com.

And Stace at Dos Centavos filed a review of Los Texmaniacs, appearing at Houston's premier dive bar, Under the Volcano, in Rice Village.

=======================

And here are some posts of interest from other Texas blogs.

Culturemap Houston had the early confirmation of the University of Houston' hosting of the February 25 GOP presidential debate.

Moni at TransGriot reminds Republicans that they lost, Scalia is gone, and Obama gets to pick his replacement.

The Rag Blog is being hopeful about a Sanders-Trump general election.

The state of Texas is charging ahead with its plan to redesignate immigration lockup facilities as childcare centers, according to the Houston Press.

Lone Star Ma focused on the 7th of the United Nations' new Sustainable Development Goals: Ensuring access to affordable, reliable, sustainable and modern energy for all.

D Magazine asks whose fault it is when a pedestrian gets hit by a car.

Better Texas Blog reviews the proposed rules to qualify for a high-quality pre-kindergarten grant.

Doyen Oyeniyi searches in vain for an actual "sanctuary city".

The Dallas Observer does not like the way its mayor talked about the now-banned Exxxotica convention.

Keep Austin Wonky examined how city council there can use the 2016 presidential election to enhance Austin’'s mobility.

Pages of Victory remembers his big brother.

Finally, the TPA congratulates the Rivard Report for achieving its goal of becoming a non-profit.

Sunday, February 14, 2016