Or is it?
We're on track to have between 1.25m & 1.75m Texans vote in the #TX2022 Republican primary and between 0.75m & 1.25m vote in the Democratic primary. That's out of 22m voting age Texans, or 6-8% & 4-6% of the VAP, which is in line with recent levels of voter participation. #txlege pic.twitter.com/0KCxs2Ub8e
— Mark P. Jones (@MarkPJonesTX) February 21, 2022
That's the data from Longhorn Derek, and it's also Kuffner's point this morning, i.e. 'all caught up'. Frankly when the state ranks in the bottom five in voter turnout and the media is begging people to vote because everyone knows that the ones who do are crackpots ... maybe "we're on pace with previous years" isn't good news. For anybody.
Rove's analysis on Democratic prospects rings true with a special nod to Beto: #txlege Democrats Better Start Praying About the Midterm Elections by @KarlRove https://t.co/HH4MDvl5ni via @WSJOpinion
— harvey kronberg (@HKronberg) February 21, 2022
Nobody like Turd Blossom, but nobody ignores him either.
Voter turnout in Texas primaries is dramatically low. https://t.co/MWHUohysd3 via @TexasTribune #TXLege #TX2022 #EarlyVoting #TexasChainsawMassacre2022
— Forever in debt to your priceless advice. (@PDiddie) February 19, 2022
Democrats are wailing loudly about rejected mail ballots.
NEW: 46% of mail-in ballots have been rejected in El Paso, Texas so far following the Texas GOP’s new voter suppression law. In previous elections, this number was around 5-10%, per @BobMooreNews.
— No Lie with Brian Tyler Cohen (@NoLieWithBTC) February 20, 2022
In the 2018 primary, 0.2% of mail ballots in Harris County were rejected.
— Jasper Scherer (@jaspscherer) February 18, 2022
This year, as of Tuesday, 36% of mail ballots have been flagged for rejection and returned to voters due to new Texas ID requirements, per county officials. #txlegehttps://t.co/gb95rrepGW
The Fifth Circuit Court of Appeals is reinstating a portion of Texas' voting law that prevents election officials from encouraging people to register to vote by mail, according to Harris County Attorney Christian Menefee.https://t.co/CDiBUu1yUj#254Strong #txlege
— Texas County magazine (@TexasCountymag) February 18, 2022
But turnout in the RGV's GOP primary doesn't seem affected.
Republican turnout at early voting polls skyrocketing across Valley https://t.co/3Ebs3ofnvm via @myrgvnews #rgv #tcot #txlege
— Aaron For Justice (@AaronForJustice) February 21, 2022
Turncoat Pena, hoping to get on the appeals court down south.
There’s a unique politics brewing among South Texas conservatives. Candidates speak in the same way as progressives on issues of identity, using the language of representation, but repurposed for a conservative audience.
— Jack Herrera (@jherrerx) February 16, 2022
My latest:https://t.co/ldDK9nJdQo
A parade of Latino voters are changing the political fabric of South #Texas. In the #Laredo region, where about nine out of 10 residents are Catholic, many registered voters appear to be driven largely by the single issue of abortion.#TXlege https://t.co/gDzrMoq5V5
— Anna Núñez (@nunez_anna) February 20, 2022
I should probably mention that this development comes as a shock to the TDP chairman.
I mean, this is HIS home region. The fact that the @texasdemocrats chair is "surprised by the lack of turnout in Hidalgo County" is pretty telling.
— Denise Flores (@TheDeniseFlores) February 21, 2022
Imagine ignoring a whole ass region for decades and expecting the same sort of Democratic turnout every year. #GOTV #txlege pic.twitter.com/mwoDtw6dOU
Shell Seas watched the debate between Gilberto Hinojosa, Kim Olson, and Carroll Robinson and has a lengthy, insight-filled review.
I have so many posts for 'Texas Republicans behaving badly' that they will appear separately, following this one. Let's look at the latest polling.
New @dallasnews-@UTTyler poll:
— Bob Garrett (@RobertTGarrett) February 20, 2022
GOV: Abbott leads O’Rourke, 45-38
AG, GOP*: Paxton leads Bush, 39-25 (Guzman 13, Gohmert 7)
AG, Dem*: Garza 22, Jaworski 13, Merritt & Fields, 9 each
LG, Dem*: Collier 21, Beckley 18, Brailey 15
*Headed to runoff?
1/3 #txlegehttps://t.co/VyJrczsT1B
No real movement in these numbers over the past thirty or so days. Texas 2036 also shared the results of their fourth Texas Voters Poll.
Divided: Texans split on overturning Roe vs Wade, support strong for six-week ban in new abortion law, new @dallasnews/@UTTyler poll shows, @Belynnhollers reports. #txlege #abortion #SB8 #SenateBill8 #SCOTUS #RoevsWade #Texas https://t.co/l7MrPT4ZKv pic.twitter.com/Gdvy0buTqp
— John Gravois (@Grav1) February 21, 2022
"As Texas abortion clinics have dwindled over the years, CPCs have proliferated. There are now ~200 of them in Texas—the most in any state."
— Progress Texas (@ProgressTX) February 18, 2022
These fake clinics are taking taxpayer $$ to spread misinformation & promote their anti-abortion agenda. #txlegehttps://t.co/k5LeUbcQaS
More of the latest developments regarding Texas women's reproductive freedom in the Social Justice Wrangle, forthcoming.
And SocraticGadfly offered a trio of politics and voting posts from last week, but candidly none of his unhinged, incoherent, rambling rants make any sense. Go read them if you like but keep in mind he's a former Green who has now apparently decided he hates the Greens and just voted in the Republican primary. (You've been warned.)
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