Thursday, September 19, 2024

A Not-Too-Early Electoral College Observation


Not a forecast; it IS too early for that. Not a prediction, either.

Here's 270 To Win's map, something we'll all be playing with as the time draws nigh (and please note that its snapshot reflects the date of this post, so click over and see if it's changed if you're reading this after today). This one isn't interactive.



Note the states in grey considered toss-ups: North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Georgia, Michigan, Wisconsin, Arizona, and Nevada, from R to L, Eastern to Western time zones.

Play with this next map to your satisfaction (it should be interactive). I present my scenario and explanatory rationale below.



So if I were forecasting or predicting it would go something like this ...

I believe that the share of the third party vote in PA, GA, and MI -- between Jill Stein, Claudia de la Cruz, Cornel West, Joseph Kishore, Jasmine Sherman, Chase Oliver, Randall Terry and a few others -- will be just enough to tip the scales to Trump in those states. No, it's not siphoning; votes are not zero-sum because votes are earned. The primary factor in MI will be the Muslim American vote which appears to be breaking for Stein. From what I'm reading I think Harris' ground effort in NC wins there. Walz nets WI for the Blues.

That leaves 17 electoral votes -- AZ and NV -- needed to give Kamala 269, which throws the presidency into the House. Where Trump is chosen.

So if you're suddenly feeling dyspeptic ... I understand. Anxiety can be reduced by taking action. 'Action' is not defined as "attacking Jill Stein and the Green Party on Twitter".

If I or the polling used to arrive at the consensus forecast employed by 270 To Win are wrong -- or if circumstances alter the future -- you still have the ability to influence the outcome by a variety of effective methods of your choosing. Again, the least effective way would be posting multiple hashtags on social media.

Best of luck to your team. Enjoy your weekend. I'll have toons on Sunday mocking the duopoly, the political system, our appalling times, and some other social commentary.

Like always. It's what I do here.
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Sunday, September 15, 2024

Sunday 'Animal Farm' Funnies


Mostly domesticated, some feral.


"JD Vance ate my dog; Elon Musk ate my cat. Will Trump or Harris address this important issue?" I'm guessing 'sooner than they'll be addressing school shootings'.
I wasn't finished with the pets yet (yes, cows are).
So I thought that the debate had a little of everything weird beyond kitties and puppies on Hannibal Lecter's menu: illegal migrants receiving transgender healthcare in prison, who hated Israel the most, Kamala exposed as a Marxist (boy, do I wish) and my personal favorite, "concepts of a plan".

Donald would have instantly fired any apprentice for saying that to him. KHive and company have every right to feel joyful in the wake of that debacle. But it may have been Taylor Swift that won the post-debate spin.


With all this social media AI chaos, who needs Russian meddling? Oh yeah, maybe Kamala.


The vice president may have an electoral college problem in some swing states with the Muslim American/anti-genocide vote. It's interesting that both AOC and Keith Ellison were employed as attack dogs recently to tag-team Jill Stein. Black American podcaster Angela Rye also took her swings. Using the 'all publicity is good' analogy, the fact that the topics trended all week long introduced a lot of people to the Green Party. Something to monitor.


But the constant focus by corporate media on the uniparty options, its attendant performative displays, and the sideshow issues of no substance -- national head-to-head polling, funds raised, all the assorted he said/she said bullshit -- suggests this awful state of affairs seems to be only the 2024 cycle's last toxicity endurance contest. Thank Jeebus more of us are wising up and opting out.

This country's gone to the dogs. Can we go back to the zoo?
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Sunday, September 08, 2024

"Cheney Democrats" (not so) Funnies


The Democratic Party of 2024 is the Republican Party of 2000.


It's fitting that Deep-In-The-Hearta is at the center of this revelation, because it began with W Bush and Rick Perry, coinciding with the rise of the blue blogosphere ... and that cottage industry's descent into irrelevance. Just like Texas Democrats.

When is the "War Criminals for Harris" Zoom?
Team Joynicide is quite obviously not the only wing of the Uniparty oblivious to the glaring inadequacies of their standard-bearer.

Lisa Benson, a nominal Republican, keeps nailing it.
Yeah, the Democratic Party -- the one that didn't acknowledge holding a primary for their desiccated incumbent, then switched him out at the last minute, and is still suing Jill Stein and Cornel West off various state ballots -- is going to "save democracy". Because Kamala didn't get a bounce from that joyful convention and is still tied with Trump.
Election 2024 isn't like 1968 or 2016. It hasn't come full circle or done a 180. It's gone through Alice in Wonderland's looking glass into Bizarro World.

But some other bad shit happened last week too.


Wrapping up this week's misery with a reminder that your choices for president include more and are better than Red MAGA or Blue MAGA.
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Sunday, September 01, 2024

"You People are all Weird" Funnies


I wanted brainworm cartoons, I got whale heads.



Trump is squandering his comeback chances. Not that anybody who holds a low opinion of Trump cares, but his campaign implosion makes Kamala even more cautious. The only good news I can divine from this development is that a less close two-horse race slightly favors the third party candidates, as they can be blamed less using the odious 'spoiler' slander. The only twist in this regard has been Cornel West's effort to chase after Bobby Jr.'s anti-vax caucus.

West was added as a qualified write-in presidential candidate to the Lone Star ballot this past week, joining PSL's Claudia de la Cruz (and others). Those are two significant anti-duopoly options for Texans who also happen to be Green- and Libertarian-hostile.

For those with their red and blue blinders tightly attached, the only mystery remaining is how low the Democratic ticket will go for non-MAGA GOP votes.


You people are all weird (in your own way, and I love you).

Not you Zionists, though, and not you climate denialists. And certainly not you bastards profiting off either one.


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Sunday, August 25, 2024

Joy Hangover Funnies

Felt like a disconnect this past week.

Just me? The Blues got way too happy and the Reds got even more chapped than usual. It's a bipolar country ... but no matter how screechy they get about it, it's still not a binary choice.


More commies at the end of this post. I was hoping for some good brain worms toons; maybe next week. The confab was not one I watched because I don't do sugar highs any more (living 20 years with diabetes will do that to a body). Still couldn't resist tuning in to the Xitter meltdown, which was revealing if disconcertingly Orwellian.


The rainbow wristband accessory is the entire HGLBT Caucus. Okay, maybe not all of it but way too much of it *coughAnniseParker*cough*


(You know Parker's going to challenge Lina Hidalgo in '26, right? And Adrian Garcia and Lesley Briones will endorse the challenger. Right?)

Anyway. I hate the local Donks. Mostly. Thank you and big ups to CMs Tiffany Taylor and Leticia Plummer for being the noteworthy exceptions.

Back in Chicago it didn't look like a very big tent unless you were a Republican or a war monger. But I repeat myself.


With a bit more than 60 days to Election Day and some weird twists and turns already behind us, it would be foolish to think that Kamala is just going to glide into the Oval with no published policies, no press conferences, and one or two debates with a flailing, wailing, even-more-unhinged-than-regular Trump. She could still blow this.

Bookmark so you can come back and laugh at me if I'm wrong, like eight years ago.


Save the orcas, hug a tree, stop the wars, either tax the billionaires or barbecue them, and FFS don't let them silence the cartoonists.
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Sunday, August 18, 2024

The Egos Have Landed Funnies

The people who say that we can’t afford social welfare programs never think affordability is a problem when it comes to police, building new prisons, or going to war.

It’s particularly aggravating when people say this about programs that will pay for themselves in the long run (as panel three mentions). “We can’t afford it” isn’t generally a real argument: It’s an excuse to avoid making an argument.
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Sunday, August 11, 2024

Grin and Bear It Funnies

Bobby Junior made the Texas ballot for November, and just like their Biden depression flipped to Kamala ecstasy, Lone Star Donks are suddenly under the artificially-induced delusion that Deep-In-The-Hearta is in electoral play.

It's not called the silly season for no reason. In fairness, the heat might be a contributing factor.

In unfairness, this shit right here -- already as stubborn as a skin rash -- will ratchet up if more Blue MAGA can convince the DSA sympathizers/Stockholm Syndromers that a vote for anyone but their fascist is a vote for the other fascist.
Donald Trump and JD Vance are doing their weirdest to force themselves back into the Lamestream Media's spotlight. And failing spectacularly. World Culture War Three has nuked them.
Veep Genovibes, emulating Joementia's capacity to fuck things up, made a stab at snatching defeat from the jaws of Comeback of the Century. Outcome murky; check again later.


What's not in doubt is actual foreign influence in our elections. Not Russia, China, Iran, or any of the usual suspects however.


It's not just the Zionists. There's a Meta-Musky dankness to the memes.

Images like "shrimp Jesus", an 18-wheeler overflowing with babies, or a police officer holding a massive bible while wading through floodwater are regularly going viral on Facebook, garnering tens of thousands of likes.

Investigation Finds Source of AI Slop on Facebook

Even the Brits' stiff upper lip is turning sneery about it.


"Colin A.I.-zer"
Save the orcas, hug a tree, stop the wars, either tax the billionaires or barbecue them, and FFS don't let them silence the cartoonists.
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Sunday, August 04, 2024

Sunday "Weird Colored Cat People" Funnies

Among a variety of other reasons, this is why I am voting Green again.
(Not "liberal" polices, Mike Ramirez; no polices at all. A solid artist and otherwise smart fellow often ruins a good toon pandering to the lazy-thinking right. Sad!)

Are Greens weird? You bet your sweet ass. But Jill Stein won't be rolling out the red carpet for genocide. Ever.
I thought of this cartoon after listening to a news report interviewing swing voters. The swing voters they interviewed weren’t stupid, and they all seemed likable. But they were very, very ignorant. Ignorant of policies, ignorant of what a President’s actual job powers are, ignorant of what sources of information are credible.

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Sunday, July 28, 2024

"Fortunes Flip" Funnies


There's lots of passing the Olympic torch toons but only a few worth dropping in here. This guy got out of the gate early.


Democrats went from suicidal to euphoric in less than a week, but James Carville -- the voice of reason (LMAO) -- cautioned that "giddy elation (wouldn't) be helpful much longer". Meanwhile Trump, facing the age/senility question alone, seeing no convention polling bounce and suddenly dealing with a running mate liability, reacted with his by-now-predictable terminal (as in 'someboby's getting fired') rage.


The other bombshell in the week that was had Bibi dropping a deuce in Congress.


I'm not the only person that enjoyed the opening ceremonies.


Except of course for the reminders that Palestinians are being slaughtered while all of this nationalism is being celebrated.


Honoring the life of service of Sheila Jackson Lee has even greater meaning knowing that it pisses off Houston conservatives to no end. That was SJL to the very end.

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Sunday, July 21, 2024

Biden Drops Out

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Shooting Pains Funnies

I'll let the toons speak for themselves this week. And let's veer right first, as the Messiah Trump and his apostolic GOP put the 'con' in their convention.

All this winning would not be possible were it not for Feeble Joe Biden and the Dumbocrats, who have taken their "disarray" to maddening new heights.

You don't have to play in the two-party sandbox. Well over half of all Americans don't (by not registering to vote, and not voting when they do). Don't be terrorized by them, and don't be one of their cultist weirdos.

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