Wednesday, March 04, 2020

Do you believe Him?



How about now?


Still a believer?


As everybody who only glances at the right-hand column already knows, I am very loudly not a believer in Him (or Her), but as they say about blind hogs and acorns and stopped clocks ...

I suppose I'll have a few more specific things to blog about last night later.

Monday, March 02, 2020

Texas Independence Day and Election Eve Wrangle (with Election Day updates)

(Ed. note: This blog has long been composed in Mozilla Firefox, and this post, using some unique spacing, is best viewed in that browser.)

The Texas Progressive Alliance is celebrating Independence Day today by helping those who waited for Election Day to research your ballot options.


A bit of state history few Texans likely know:

Lorenzo de Zavala designed the Republic of Texas flag. Attesting to its staying power, his creation continues today as the Texas state flag. Said another way, Mexican-born de Zavala is the one who put the star on the Texas Lone Star Flag.



de Zavala, once a high-ranking Mexican government official and consort to Santa Anna, became disenchanted with the president's authoritarian rule and resigned.  Later, he was elected the first vice-president in the history of the Republic of Texas, on March 16, 1836.  His story is complicated, and poorly told by public school texts in today's curriculum, but you can read about it at the Rio Grande Guardian.




With the wrap on early voting, TXElects.

Friday was a record-setting early voting day for the Democratic primary in the 15 counties with the most registered voters. A record 193K people voted in person or by mail on the last day of early voting, the highest one-day total in state primary history, eclipsing the 2008 mark of 173K. Friday’s voters represented a quarter of all early voters in that party’s primary in those counties. Three of the seven highest and five of the 13 highest, single-day vote totals occurred this year ...

Turning to the state’s 30 top counties, Republican strategist and data nerd Derek Ryan’s final early voting report (PDF) indicated that 219K people under 40 voted in the Democratic primary and 58K people under 50 voted in the Republican primary. More than 300K people with no recent (2012-2018) Democratic primary history voted in this year’s Democratic primary (Ryan said that some of them voted in the 2008 primary.) and 123K people with no recent Republican primary history voted in this year’s Republican primary.

TXElects also analyzed the results from the three primary polls last week, as did Kuff.


The South Carolina primary results, a big win for Joe Biden, culled the field for the Democratic presidential nomination.  Pete Buttigieg was on a flight to Austin when he announced the suspension of his campaign, returning instead to South Bend, IN to make a formal announcement.  Earlier in the day he had declared he would not be dropping out, after Tom Steyer, who finished well ahead of him in third, did just that.  There is much speculation and some polling that suggests where Buttigieg's electoral support might go.  Of the remaining candidates, only Amy Klobuchar has not campaigned in Texas during the past ten days.

Update (Tues., 3/3): Klobuchar followed BootEdgeEdge's lead, falling out and then joining Pete in Dallas to endorse Biden.  Beto O'Rourke made it a threesome.  More on these developments in the next 'White House Update' post.

A chorus of Texas Democrats loudly moaned "woe is us"  (in classic Hee Haw style) as the prospects of a Bernie Sanders victory in Texas, in California and other Super Tuesday primary states, and ultimately the Democratic nomination, came into tighter focus.




And we can only imagine how favorable the numbers would be had the pollsters asked about democratic socialism.  We can be thankful that Bernie's proposal for free college tuition will enable Americans to return to school in order to learn the difference without fear of burdensome debt.


Not all Lone Star Donks are doom and gloom, thankfully.

“The truth is that Bernie speaks to people, not party,” (former state Rep. Marisa Márquez, one of Sanders’ most prominent Texas backers) says. “The disenfranchised and marginalized, especially Latinos, have found their voice in this campaign.

“I would encourage the leaders in our state to take a good look at the real change Bernie Sanders’ campaign represents for the people of Texas,” she adds. “Fear will not defeat Trump in November. “

And Sanders’ campaign has stressed that it believes he is the best candidate for a Democratic victory here.

“Texas isn’t a red state, it’s a nonvoting state,” says Kolby Lee, a Sanders spokesman who grew up in Texas. “If we’re serious about flipping the state House and winning in battleground congressional districts, we need a nominee who will inspire grassroots enthusiasm and turn out voters on Election Day.”

And Ross Ramsey at the TexTrib, via Progrexas, reminds us that after the presidentials move on to other states, we'll still have some runoff elections to decide next month.


PDiddie at Brains and Eggs exposed our state media's glaring bias in his pointed commentary on the Texas Senate Democratic primary.

In the pending special election to replace departing state Sen. Kirk Watson (reported in last week's Wrangle), state Rep. Eddie Rodriguez of Austin announced he has formed an exploratory committee to run for the seat.  The committee’s co-chairs are Reps. Gina Hinojosa, Donna Howard, and Celia Israel, all of Austin, and all of whom have previously declared their non-interest in running.


As the coronavirus/COVID-19 pandemic spreads to the US, Texas gets its first cases, in San Antonio and in HoustonUpdate: Greg Abbott responded with practiced indignant outrage at a Washington DC bungle, the only difference being that he didn't blame Trump.  The real news from that link:

The city of Austin is separately in discussions about whether to cancel the annual South by Southwest festival, a weeklong technology, music and film conference, according to Mayor Steve Adler’s office.

SocraticGadfly read Edward Snowden's Permanent Record and was left with lots more questions (about Snowden, not the government) than he had before.

Brooke Lewis at the HouChron celebrated Black History Month as a legacy of endurance.


The TSTA Blog dismissed private school vouchers as a "conservative moral value".  The Texas Signal found another candidate for Worst Republican.  Sanford Nowlin at the SA Current begged to differ, with his own pick.  And Bud Kennedy at the FWST wrote about a paranoid militia infiltrating Texas police departments that is fomenting rebellion.

A revolution-minded, conspiracy-bent militia group named the Oath Keepers is recruiting law officers in Hood County to take up arms in what the founder predicts will be a “bloody civil war” against the U.S. government.

A national director of the Las Vegas-based Oath Keepers, John D. Shirley, moved to rural Hood County in 2015 and has been appointed by county commissioners as a constable, giving him both access to confidential information and a political platform to recruit more militia members.

Better Texas Blog urged those who may be affected by the anti-immigrant "public charge rule" to stay enrolled in public assistance programs.  Lucas Manfield at the Dallas Observer noted the settlement in the case of a Mansfield ISD teacher who was fired for being gay.  And Keri Blakinger, formerly of the HouChron and currently of the Marshall Project, filled in for the ailing Scott Henson and sent him a criminal justice roundup post for his blog, Grits for Breakfast.


If you just haven't had enough of the Astros' sign-stealing scandal, Sean O'Neal's 'Hollywood, Texas' collation at Texas Monthly reports that you may(!) get to relive it as a television series.


The Hollywood Reporter notes that Sports Illustrated writer Ben Reiter will host the first of what will be a whole new franchise of sports documentary podcasts, beginning with this look at the Astros’s now permanently asterisked 2017 season. From there, producers hope to turn that whole saga into a TV series, which will allow Astros fans to relive those cringe-inducing memories as though they’re just another prestige show.

Let's close it out with these.




Wander down a desolate Texas highway in the 1950s, and you might stumble upon one of these Lone Star state jewels called motor court motels. Now there's a boutique hotel tucked away near Austin that is reminiscent of that retro style, Lone Star Court.

An emerging wave of moteliers are now harkening back to the cool heyday of motor courts. Lone Star Court is answering that nostalgic demand in Texas. Hidden away in Austin's neighborhoods to the north, The Domain, Lone Star Court has the aesthetic of Hill Country cool.

Thursday, February 27, 2020

The state of the #TXSen Democratic Primary

It's a crine-ass shame that our corporate media not only picks their favorite candidates, to the exclusion (read: blackout) of all others, but then refuses to perform the due diligence to learn, and disclose, that one of their favorites is laden with heavy, reeking baggage.

I'll get to that in just a moment.  Let me open with the premise (you're welcome to disagree) that Bernie Sanders is going to be the Democratic nominee for President of the United States.  There is, unsurprisingly, major fuckery afoot to stop that from happening.  Again, whether efforts to subvert democracy by the Democratic Party establishment succeed or fail is -- or for now, will be -- a conversation for another day.

Today we'll start with the postulate above.  And if you buy that, then ...


Despite my longtime denigration of polls and polling, I tend to place more faith in the pseudo-science as Election Day draws closer ... despite the outcome of the presidential election in 2016 defying even the prognostications of the once-mighty Nate Silver.  (Hey, I believed him and them too.)

So Bernie's on a roll; he'll emerge next Wednesday morning with a bushel full of delegates; his various challengers are in assorted stages of disarray, and only some treachery is going to stop his nomination.  And with those circumstances, and with the Senate in desperate need of flipping blue so as to enact his sweeping reforms ... why is a Libertarian who voted in the GOP primary in 2016 and a self-confessed gun nut -- she stands for everything Beto O'Rourke fought against ...


... leading a dozen candidates by a mile in the race to replace John Cornyn?  The strength of her campaign seems to be, as it was in 2018 when she ran for Congress against John Carter, based on her military service.  Oh, and she also rides a motorcycle.

If you believe what the so-called smart people in Texas politics say, MJ Hegar will be followed into the runoff by a man or a person of color, and that sounds a lot like Royce West, the Dallas state senator with a long service history, many endorsements from his peers in the Lege, and a proud record of Democratic conservatism that Texas Donks are renowned for.  (Once upon a time, before they were called Blue Dogs, they were Boll Weevils, Reagan Democrats, Goldwater Democrats, Shivercrats, and other less-flattering monikers, but back then they were also all Kluckers.  Far be it from me to suggest that an African American conservaDem be classified with white racists.)

Hegar and West don't support Medicare for All, don't support the Green New Deal, but do support a host of middling half-measures and corporate centrist views that have been demonstrable failures in the Senate by Democrats of their stripe for many, many years.  A new generation of Texans needs new blood and fresh thinking.  These two ain't it.

Chris Bell, as I have blogged and Tweeted a thousand times, is a horse's ass of a different color.  He boasts of being progressive, but endorsed Bill King over Sylvester Turner in the 2015 mayor's race in which he failed to make the runoff.  That's not progressive (though to be fair, he might have told the truth if he'd simply amended his declaration of being "the most progressive in the race" to "the most progressive between King and Turner", although that's not much better).

And we know that Bell couldn't beat Rick Perry in 2006 in a four-person race for governor, losing votes to Kinky Friedman (not progressive) and Carole "Grandma" Keeton Rylander Strayhorn (also not progressive).  This is supposed to tell us, inexorably, that progressives can't win in Texas.  So sayeth the paid political class, pundits, and what have you.  We also know ad nauseum that Lone Star Dems have run nearly no one but conservaDems -- there have been a couple of exceptions -- and lost every statewide race since the mid-90's.

And then along came Beto O'Rourke in 2018.  Without digressing too much, Beto's shooting star has turned into a small meteor falling in the barren West Texas desert.  His close loss to Ted Cruz 1.5 years ago, his flameout in the White House sweepstakes last November, and his heavy bet on a longshot bid to flip a statehouse seat in Fort Bend County last month give him the look of a flash in the pan, in fact.  He's avoided making an endorsement here, though one candidate has staffed her campaign full of Beto alumni.

Amanda Edwards, the former at-large Houston city council member who is the fourth "favorite" in the race, has the solid pedigree and the consultant-speak down pat.  She's gotten some late media assistance, probably too late, but maybe the Black woman vote is undersampled in the polls and she sneaks into the runoff.  Does "Moderate Millennial" bang anybody's shutters?

That brings us to Cubic Zirconia "More Mexican/Good Stock", aka Christine Costello, aka Cristina Tzintzún Ramirez.  As the nickname I've given her implies, she has considerably less worth than what you might see at first glance.  Not for lack of promotion by the Texas Tribune and their CEO and co-founder Evan A. Smith, that's for sure.

So in the absence of any good journalism, you should read all the way through John's thread.


It's ten Tweets, with a few links and some video and audio.   CTzR has not responded, as best as I can determine, to any of the allegations above.  She and Hegar have recently squabbled over a few things, so it's not like Ms. Tzintzún Ramirez plays the "lalala I can't hear you" game.

John G and me are biased, of course.  He works on Sema Hernandez's campaign and I've been a supporter, financial and social media and otherwise, since her run against Beto in 2018, where she got a fourth of the primary vote, winning several counties.


Despite that, she was dismissed by Smith at the TexTrib (according to Hernandez.  Smith has not responded to the allegation below).


The voters in the Texas Democratic primary are currently in the process of rendering a verdict on the viability of Hernandez's candidacy, but I do not think the seriousness of it has ever been -- or should have been -- in question.  And in any case, Evan Smith would not be the judge of who is or isn't a serious candidate, no matter how deep our democracy has sunk into oligarchy.

So if any of this is something you'd like to have a say in, at the ballot box, between now and next Tuesday evening, please go to it.  As a reminder:


See you at the polling place.