Thursday, September 24, 2020

Election 2020 Update: SCOTUS and the Senate

As surely as the seasons change from summer to fall and the Gulf clears itself of tropical disturbances; as certainly as 2020's hurricanes went from boys and girls to non-binary; and as absolutely as there will be a new Justice seated before November 3rd, will President Donald Trump be "re-elected", in the most marginal definition of the word.

Prove me wrong, Donks.  It's all up to you.  No amount of scolding is going to get it done.  The polls all say you've got this, just as they did right up until the afternoon of November 8, 2016.  So this is a "no excuses" election for you.  Not that you won't make all of the same stale ones if I'm right.

And I really don't want to be right.  I'm just not going to be helping you, or many of your down-ballot candidates, like I have in decades past.  That ship has sailed.

As for the Supreme Court: maybe you all can motivate Schumer, et.al. to throw a block.  I'm not seeing it, even if Mark Kelly wins and jumps the seniority line, because of Mitt now.  Amy Coney Barrett (or Barbara Lagoa, or whomever) will have ordered the drapes for her new office by then, her robes having come back from the tailors.  Seat on the bench adjusted and ready to cast her vote on approving the incumbent president's legal pleading for "election tampering", or vote "fraud", or whatever.  Negotiations are open for a third term.  A second one IMHO is no longer in question.



What are you gonna do about it, riot in the streets?



You could use it as a learning experience in how to wield power once you get it back.  Maybe not sign off on Trump's judges or undeclared wars, to start.  Sure sounds like anything more radical than that -- like changing the crusty rules of the upper chamber -- are out of your reach.



One thing I would suggest not doing is giving any more money to Bitch McConnell's opponent.


Personally I would have donated if Charles Booker had won the KY D primary.  And I'm voting for David Collins here in Deep-In-The-Hearta, since he's back on my ballot.  Consider the rest of Kate Willett and Ryan Grim's advice on a case-by-case basis if you've got political cash to burn.

And rank Lisa Savage first if you live in Maine.  Sara Gideon is still going to win, and Susan Collins is still going to lose.  So is Cory Gardner in Colorado.  The other seats Democrats ought to capture are North Carolina (Thom Tillis, R inc. versus Cal Cunningham); Montana (Steve Daines, R inc. versus Steve Bullock); Iowa (Joni Ernst, R inc. versus Theresa Greenfield) and Georgia's regularly scheduled US Senate election (David Perdue, R inc. versus Jon Ossoff).  It's a longer shot, but if a blue wave has been underestimated, the Donks could sweep out Lindsey Graham in South Carolina, replacing him with Jaime Harrison.  But they will lose Alabama's Doug Jones to Auburn's Tommy Tuberville.  The GA special election, Kansas, and yes, Texas, are out of reach.

But the ones I've predicted are enough to give Donks a 53-47 margin, which is what Moscow Bitch has been working with, and if I'm also wrong about Trump being re-elected then it's a new blue day in Washington.  They can do whatever they want.

Just don't forget that Joe Biden wants to work with Republicans because America needs the GOP.  That's why I #ListenToBernie.

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