Showing posts sorted by date for query mark jones. Sort by relevance Show all posts
Showing posts sorted by date for query mark jones. Sort by relevance Show all posts

Thursday, November 30, 2023

Baker Institute's "Previewing the 2024 Presidential Election" Friday, Dec. 1

The 2024 presidential election promises to deliver unexpected twists and turns. At this year’s annual conference from Rice University's Baker Institute Presidential Elections Program on Friday, December 1, the institute will host political experts from around the country to explore the state of the 2024 presidential campaign season and the challenges that lie ahead for candidates.

This event is free and open to the public, but registration is required. In-person attendance is full, but you can still sign up for the waitlist or for an email reminder with the link to the livestream. Follow @BakerInstitute on X (formerly known as Twitter), and join the conversation with #BakerLive.


9:00 am

Panel I — A Presidential Election With Legal Issues Like No Other

Moderated by: Mark K. Updegrove, Presidential Historian,  ABC News; President and CEO, LBJ Foundation

Richard L. Hasen
Professor of Law and Political Science, University of California, Los Angeles; Director, Safeguarding Democracy Project

Joshua Sellers
Professor of Law, The University of Texas at Austin

10:15 am Break

10:30 am

Panel II — Dissatisfaction With the Two-Party System

Moderated by: Lisa Falkenberg, Houston Chronicle Vice President and Editor of Opinion

Mark P. Jones
Fellow in Political Science, Joseph D. Jamail Chair in Latin American Studies

The Honorable Pat McCrory
Former Governor of North Carolina; National Co-Chair, No Labels

The Honorable Jay Nixon
Former Governor of Missouri; Ballot Integrity Project Director, No Labels

11:45 am Lunch

12:15 pm

Lunch Conversation

Moderated by: Major Garrett, CBS News’ chief Washington correspondent

Mark McKinnon
Political advisor

Jennifer Palmieri
Political and communications strategist

1:15 pm Break

1:30 pm

Panel III — A View From the Campaign Bus

Moderated by: Julie Mason, host of daily political talk show “Julie Mason Mornings” on SiriusXM

Galen Bacharier
Politics Reporter, Des Moines Register

Dave Carney
CEO, Norway Hill Associates, Inc.

Marianne LeVine
National Political Reporter, The Washington Post

Alex Thompson
National Political Correspondent, Axios

2:45 pm Break

3:00 pm

Panel IV — Looking Forward to the 2024 Election

Moderated by: Lisa Lerer, National Political Correspondent, The New York Times

Nathan L. Gonzales
Editor & Publisher, Inside Elections

Rebecca Pearcey
Partner, Political Communications, Bryson Gillette

Alex Thompson
National Political Correspondent, Axios

Amy Walter
Publisher & Editor-in-Chief, Cook Political Report


For a more detailed description of the panel discussions or additional information about the event, click here.

Thursday, April 14, 2022

The Political Stunt Express Wrangle from Far Left Texas


Let's do a duopoly politics update.  We have to start with Governor Border Crisis, because he's all the rage this week.


As has been the case for the past 25 years, the Republican goober's Democratic opponent is failing to capitalize on the mistakes and meanness of the incumbent.


Beto and his people are useless.  "Touring an empty warehouse" -- that'll really draw the cameras -- while Abbott bused asylum-seekers halfway across the country for a publicity ruse after creating miles-long truck traffic jams at border entries, aggravating the nation's inflation crisis.  The man in the wheelchair has yuge Trump energy.  (Clue: This is how you do it.  I predict a staff shakeup soon.)

Here's a polling round-up.  I see that Chuckles hasn't gotten to them yet, probably because he's busy with those community college candidate interviews and bicycle trail updates and scolding the media for noting Ted Cruz's latest culture skirmish.


BTW, regarding Cuellar...


Hidalgo is pushing back defiantly against the charges leveled against her staff.  (One more example for O'Rourke in how to fight back.)


But she and all the rest of Team Blue have enormous headwinds.


Not the least of which is Joe Biden's albatross around their necks.

One more thing before moving on: the story of Pee Bush's -- and by extension his family's -- pending political demise is officially overtold.  These fetishes by the state's media are reminiscent of the way they fawned over Matthew McConaughey last year, and before him the Castro brothers for numerous cycles.  Get over yourselves, starfuckers.  Even Texas Republicans don't care about the Bushes any more.  Once he's defeated, we'd all like to see you write about the people who are running for office who aren't corrupt, or pandering, or demonstrably ignorant and stupid.


Here's the environmental news.


And as typical, a lot of social injustice developments.  Guns up first.


I am in dire need of some pleasantry.

Monday, February 28, 2022

It's Almost Over: Texas GOP Behaving Badly as Primary Season Closes


Once again we begin with the very worst Republicans in all of these somewhat less-United States as our beloved Texas reaches the conclusion of its screechy and vitriolic primary season.  It'll mostly be over in less than 36 hours.


Ya don't say.


K-Pax skipped this affair.


We'll get back to General Lazy Eye in a moment.


Good on Texas teachers -- and everyone else -- mobilizing against this travesty.  More social justice/injustice news was posted over the weekend.


I'll have my TexDems post -- the ones to vote for (if you're voting) and the ones not to vote for -- separately.  Lots of Democrats seem to be taking a pass on their ballot this spring; I am one.  I'll have more on that topic also.


Candidly I have just the slightest degree of higher confidence in Dr. Jones' numbers than I do Kuffner's (too many manipulations, Chuckles).

More on the way as mentioned above, plus an environmental round-up.  Here's a few calm-me-downs, starting with some Texas political history.


A Houston music scene mainstay who could sing jazz, blues, soul and gospel with equal fervor and sensitivity, Yvonne Washington was a Bayou City ambassador who took her voice all around the world, entertaining audiences from President George Bush and first lady Barbara Bush at home to jazz fans in Shanghai. Washington died on Feb. 23 at age 72 after a short illness.

Tuesday, February 22, 2022

Texas Chainsaw Early Voting Massacre Wrangle


Or is it?


That's the data from Longhorn Derek, and it's also Kuffner's point this morning, i.e. 'all caught up'.  Frankly when the state ranks in the bottom five in voter turnout and the media is begging people to vote because everyone knows that the ones who do are crackpots ... maybe "we're on pace with previous years" isn't good news.  For anybody.


Nobody like Turd Blossom, but nobody ignores him either.


Democrats are wailing loudly about rejected mail ballots.


But turnout in the RGV's GOP primary doesn't seem affected.


Turncoat Pena, hoping to get on the appeals court down south.


I should probably mention that this development comes as a shock to the TDP chairman.


Shell Seas watched the debate between Gilberto Hinojosa, Kim Olson, and Carroll Robinson and has a lengthy, insight-filled review.

I have so many posts for 'Texas Republicans behaving badly' that they will appear separately, following this one.  Let's look at the latest polling.


No real movement in these numbers over the past thirty or so days.  Texas 2036 also shared the results of their fourth Texas Voters Poll.


More of the latest developments regarding Texas women's reproductive freedom in the Social Justice Wrangle, forthcoming.

And SocraticGadfly offered a trio of politics and voting posts from last week, but candidly none of his unhinged, incoherent, rambling rants make any sense.  Go read them if you like but keep in mind he's a former Green who has now apparently decided he hates the Greens and just voted in the Republican primary.  (You've been warned.)

Wednesday, February 16, 2022

Still Not Voting Wrangle from Far Left Texas


Update:


Not voting, obviously.


Harris County Greens and other progressives who have given up on the partisan duopoly:

Please clear your busy social calendars to make time for these important upcoming events:
Other counties in Texas with Green Party organizations will also hold their precinct and county conventions on those dates, which are specified in the Texas Election Code.  Those counties include Collin, Dallas, Denton, Travis, and Tarrant; Bexar may also have one.  Other Houston-metro counties (Brazoria, Fort Bend, Galveston, Montgomery)  may have a consolidated county convention in the near future.  Watch txgreens.org or Green social media for details.

I am not voting in the D primary so that I can participate in the Greens' conventions.  You'll note in the right-hand column that -- for those of you who are -- there are some Democrats I recommend you choose for statewide offices.  Here are the Texas Green Party's nominees:



Molison's filing is in protest of the state law restricting political participation by financial access.  That lawsuit by the Texas Libertarian Party is currently under consideration at the Supreme Court of Texas (scroll down to Dr. Mark Jones' tweet and read from there) and in federal district court.

So we'll see if Molison can make the November ballot.

Our Tex-Pukes actin' like fools since Monday:


Please put your clothes back on anyway.  I will acknowledge that sex work is still work, but IMO we have too many whores on the RRC as it is.


Bianca Garcia vows to become a "mini Marjorie Taylor Greene" if elected to the state Senate (District 11; Galveston, Pearland).  Praise the Lawd and pass the gazpacho.  Garcia also serves as the president of the national org Latinos for Trump.  And I decided to leave Ted Cruz and his latest antics out of this one, because I'm really getting worn out by that asshole.

Honestly starting to hate this part of the collation.  I'll have environmental, criminal and legal and social justice updates, and the soothers in the next Wrangle.

Monday, February 14, 2022

Valentine's Day Voting Massacre Wrangle


The elephant in the room, at the polling place, in Austin, in D.C. ...


(W)hat to do about a political system where a small and extremely conservative portion of the population is basically picking the leaders for the rest of the state? In theory, it’s supposed to be a self-correcting, but that’s reliant on general election voters restoring balance when either party goes too far astray. (Texas Politics Project director Jim) Henson says the problem is Texas Democrats.

“The weakness of the Democrats as a balancing factor in general elections has gone from being a temporary condition to almost a structural feature of the political system right now,” he said.

This means if the Democrats don’t start winning statewide offices, then Texas politics will shift even further to the right. Another solution is for more Republicans, the moderates in the party, to start showing up to vote in their primary.

Or maybe more Democrats could vote in the GOP primary.  Or perhaps the Earth will burn this pestilence off its face and a new species, one more concerned with empathy and self-preservation, will take its place in a few million years.

Since I'm not voting in the primary for the first time in my life, I guess I'm betting on the latter.

It's a grim state of affairs for the Donks.  Just check the latest polling from the TexTrib and UT, out this morning.


Some will say it's just another data point, but the trend is crystal.  And if Beto is a drag at the top, then everybody else is in trouble.

It's been twenty years since John Cornyn and Rick Perry swept the "Dream Team" of Ron Kirk and Tony Sanchez, and during that time blogs rose and fell, Twitter and Facebook were born, but Texas remains the same, except further to the right.  Dan Patrick upended David Dewhurst, Sid Miller replaced Todd Staples, Greg Abbott moved up from the SCOTX to the OAG and then the Governor's Mansion, and the Lege went full-bore nuts.

Meanwhile Tex Dems focused on "a few targeted races", like SD-10 (Wendy Davis, Konni Burton, Beverly Powell, some Republican next) and HD-134 (Martha Wong, Ellen Cohen, Sarah Davis, Ann Johnson).  When they could win a seat in Congress it inevitably was an oil-soaked Blue Dog like Lizzie Fletcher replacing some putrid conservative like John Culberson, with the shitlibs cheering 'progress'.

I spent a decade of the best years of my life in that losing fight, and another decade half in and half out of it.  No More.  I'll try to find some Donkeys to vote for in November, but I'm absolutely certain they won't make their choices easy for me.

This ain't it either, for reasons that should be obvious.  I note that no member of the Texas Progressive Alliance has mentioned this event as of yet.


More about this rally from Austin Sanders at the Austin Chronicle and Adam Serwer of The Atlantic, and from Fiorella Isabel and the DSA rally that followed.  Continuing in this vein:


Giberto Hinojosa has been an unqualified disaster for the TDP, but electing Kim Olson to replace him would end the party (which is not such a bad thing to consider, IMO.  Let the Texas Greens have the urban regions and the Donks can get their asses whipped in the boondocks).  Candidly I see the next chair being Carroll Robinson.  I've been wrong before, though.

Moving on to Tex-Cons behaving badly (a topic I blogged extensively last Thursday).


If you're going to spend as much time talking about newspaper endorsements as Kuffner does, you ought to acknowledge the obvious: they're the conservatives behaving badly here.  In running for a seat he doesn't live in, Wesley Hunt is just following the example set by James Cargas.

Shifting to ecological updates and leading with the ones having to do with the lingering effects of the freeze from a year ago (last week's post on the freeze that saved Abbott is here; and the rest of my environmental posts are here).


And a few criminal and social justice posts (a larger Wrangle of these appeared last Friday).


And my soothers (more were posted last week).

Wednesday, February 02, 2022

Groundhog Day Wrangle


The next few days will reveal whether Abbott and company will coast to re-election in March -- and November -- or whether the weather can turn the tide from red to blue.  If the Lone Star version of Punxsutawney Phil sees his shadow, it's four more years of winter in Deep In The Hearta.


Hope is not a strategy, but when you're as far behind in the polling and the fundraising as Beto is today ... what else is there?

We'll come back to Texas Democrats' failing downpost; let's catch up with the TXGOP, still doing what they do.


With the price of oil soaring, these guys will have millions more to throw away on hyper-extremist conservative politics this year.


Ted's presidential ambitions are going to be thwarted again by Trump.  What a tragedy.


Moving on to more of the foibles of Governor Fish Lips that don't include the grid.


And wrapping this segment with the egregious laws passed in the 87th Texas Lege that are coming home to roost.


The damage wasn't limited to Republicans, however.  Some of your favorites on Team Blue really disgraced themselves, and it's only Wednesday.


ICYMI.  Truly smells like desperation from Rodriguez.  It was revealed by Tribune of the People that his primary opponent Greg Casar made his own lurch to the right, and reported at nearly the same time that Amnesty International called out the government of Israel.  Lining up with an apartheid state is a bad move no matter when it occurs, but right before voting is to begin for a brand new, solid D seat just reeks of pandering for the Jewish vote.  This move also came in the wake of the federal court ruling that Texas' anti-BDS law violates the First Amendment (injunction .pdf).

A very coincidental series of events.


Not as difficult to understand given Garcia's other progressive failings, but another echo -- on the heels of the no-vote taken in the California Assembly yesterday -- of Democrats' inability to choose the will of the people over the will of their donors.  It's an extension of Gene Green's legacy she's settling into.


I suppose that will be my segue to the legal, criminal, and social justice updates.


A couple of labor updates, segue-ing into the soothers to end today.