Wednesday, August 12, 2015

Hillary Clinton news

She gets some bad and some good.  Good news first.

-- jobsanger is cautioning everybody not to read too much into the numerous and massive public crowds Bernie Sanders is drawing, and read more into early pollingHere's a poll we'll have to wait to see if Ted makes a bar graph of.

Sanders has eclipsed Clinton by a 44 to 37 percent margin, according to a new Franklin Pierce University/Boston Herald poll that was first reported by the Boston newspaper Tuesday evening.

The previous FPU/Herald poll taken in March had Sanders trailing Clinton 44 to 8.

Ted puts great emphasis on these six-months-out polling figures, blogging the latest one every single night and illustrating them with a bar graph tool.  He's smart enough to understand this is folly, but that doesn't stop him from spinning it out there every 24 hours.  Ted is your confidence man if you're a nervous Hillary supporter.

-- More on the bright side (and the most legitimate reason for not being concerned about Clinton's nomination prospects).

Black Americans view Hillary Clinton far more favorably than they do any other presidential contender, according to a Gallup survey released Monday.

Eighty percent of black adults have a favorable impression of the Democratic front-runner and former secretary of state. Even when taking into account the percentage who view Clinton unfavorably, she still has a 68 percent net favorability rating among black Americans, a group that analysts at the Cook Political Report have called the "overlooked key to 2016."

Charlie Cook is, of course, correct.

Clinton's favorability rating among black Americans eclipses those of the other Democratic hopefuls. The next highest rating belongs to Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.), who is running for president as a Democrat and has a net 23 percent favorability rating among black adults. Sanders' relationship with the black community has come under heightened scrutiny since the start of his presidential campaign. Black Lives Matters activists recently shut down a Seattle rally where the senator was scheduled to speak.

For her part, Clinton is attempting to stave off the circumstances Sanders is being forced to endure.  With her campaign appearances devoted to meeting with large donors behind closed doors and no media allowed, and with her Secret Service protection, she isn't likely to be interrupted anyway.  For his part, Sanders has moved quickly and effectively to address this most glaring shortcoming in his appeal to Democratic primary voters.  It just isn't -- won't be -- enough.

As long as BLM is stalking his rallies to disrupt, carried out by false flag operatives, improperly focused, and which they simply could not get away with at any other candidate's rallies, it's going to keep being a problem for him.  And without digressing too far into the whole BLM/Bernie issue, a lot of good analysis can be found here.  The executive summary: BLM says that Sanders and white progressives aren't progressive enough on black social justice.  White progressives taking offense to this (very accurate) criticism are telling BLM protesters and their sympathizers "you're doing it wrong", which pushes the whitesplaining button, and around we go again.

If you would prefer less abstract and more concrete, like an electoral math strategy for Bernie's uphill slog, here you go.  Everything there is too valuable to excerpt; read it all.

Now for the bad news for Clinton.

-- She capitulated to the screamers in Congress and gave up her e-mail server yesterday.  Conservatives are already yelling fire.

Hillary Rodham Clinton's presidential campaign casts her decision to turn over her personal email server to the Justice Department as cooperating with investigators. Her Republican critics suggest that the move and new revelations about classified information points to her malfeasance as secretary of state.

Two emails that traversed Clinton's personal system were subsequently given one of the government's highest classification ratings, a Republican lawmaker said.

Federal investigators have begun looking into the security of Clintons' email setup amid concerns from the inspector general for the intelligence community that classified information may have passed through the system. There is no evidence she used encryption to prevent prying eyes from accessing the emails or her personal server.


On Tuesday, Clinton attorney David Kendall gave to the Justice Department three thumb drives containing copies of work-related emails sent to and from her personal email addresses via her private server.

Kendall gave the thumb drives, containing copies of roughly 30,000 emails, to the FBI after the agency determined he could not remain in possession of the classified information contained in some of the emails, according to a U.S. official briefed on the matter who was not authorized to speak publicly. The State Department previously had said it was comfortable with Kendall keeping the emails at his Washington law office.

Also Tuesday, Republican Sen. Chuck Grassley of Iowa said two emails that traversed Clinton's personal system were deemed "Top Secret, Sensitive Compartmented Information" — a rating that is among the government's highest classifications. Grassley said the inspector general of the nation's intelligence community had reported the new details about the higher classification to Congress on Tuesday.

This e-mail server thing is going to be a boil on her ass for some time to come.  Hope she's using the right ointment to get rid of it.

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